This will be “probably the biggest election upset in Pakistan’s political history in the last 50 years,” said Mushahid Hussain Sayed, a senator with Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz
About 12 hours post the closure of polls in Pakistan’s general election, the anticipated victory of three-time premier Nawaz Sharif is appearing less assured. With only one of the 265 National Assembly seats declared, Imran Khan’s party, despite its candidates running independently due to their leader’s incarceration, is asserting an unexpected triumph. However, the validity of these claims remains uncertain at this early stage.
Sharif, having returned from London following his acquittal of corruption charges last year, aimed for a fourth term as Pakistan’s leader, perceived by analysts as being supported by the influential military to counterbalance the popular Khan.
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The release of election results has been significantly delayed, attributed to a turbulent election day marked by the suspension of mobile phone services nationwide and militant attacks causing at least 12 casualties in remote provinces along the Afghanistan border. An Election Commission of Pakistan official cited “internet problems” for the delays in a brief early morning news conference on Friday, as reported by the Wall Street Journal.
If Khan’s independents secure victory, it would create an unprecedented scenario, introducing uncertainty about the composition of the next government. This would exacerbate instability in a nuclear-armed nation grappling with the highest inflation in Asia, regional tensions, and domestic terrorist threats.
Mushahid Hussain Sayed, a senator with the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz, the initially favored party, described such an outcome as “probably the biggest election upset in Pakistan’s political history in the last 50 years.”
The incoming leader faces the challenge of managing a substantial debt burden and negotiating a new bailout from the International Monetary Fund. The country’s current nine-month IMF bailout program, the 23rd since independence in 1947, concludes next month.
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